Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.004856 0.005498 0.006231 0.007137 0.008237 0.009547 0.011245
2025-12-21 0.004073 0.004908 0.005950 0.007378 0.009332 0.011998 0.016067
2025-12-28 0.003670 0.004615 0.005873 0.007732 0.010529 0.014805 0.022374
2026-01-04 0.003315 0.004301 0.005677 0.007831 0.011326 0.017213 0.029143
2026-01-11 0.003003 0.003990 0.005417 0.007760 0.011803 0.019209 0.036216
2026-01-18 0.002776 0.003766 0.005246 0.007779 0.012412 0.021622 0.045733
2026-01-25 0.002545 0.003508 0.004983 0.007594 0.012594 0.023240 0.054540
2026-02-01 0.002318 0.003232 0.004659 0.007247 0.012385 0.023930 0.061333
2026-02-08 0.002122 0.002987 0.004357 0.006896 0.012092 0.024331 0.067683
2026-02-15 0.002028 0.002894 0.004298 0.006978 0.012721 0.027276 0.086974
2026-02-22 0.001906 0.002747 0.004131 0.006832 0.012815 0.028839 0.102812
2026-03-01 0.001793 0.002606 0.003961 0.006656 0.012805 0.030116 0.119641
2026-03-08 0.001695 0.002488 0.003835 0.006582 0.013095 0.032717 0.152507
2026-03-15 0.001644 0.002448 0.003846 0.006792 0.014173 0.038734 0.235548
2026-03-22 0.001611 0.002434 0.003901 0.007107 0.015640 0.047534 0.418858
2026-03-29 0.001552 0.002372 0.003857 0.007195 0.016504 0.054754 0.697378
2026-04-05 0.001482 0.002283 0.003755 0.007132 0.016900 0.060249 1.100604
2026-04-12 0.001426 0.002217 0.003690 0.007149 0.017563 0.068087 2.081009
2026-04-19 0.001357 0.002121 0.003559 0.006984 0.017578 0.072235 3.448551
2026-04-26 0.001279 0.002005 0.003378 0.006675 0.017020 0.072221 4.602694
2026-05-03 0.001206 0.001895 0.003203 0.006362 0.016383 0.071286 5.860787
2026-05-10 0.001175 0.001860 0.003179 0.006435 0.017184 0.082154 25.385869
2026-05-17 0.001127 0.001792 0.003082 0.006305 0.017185 0.086853 105.911813